Huatai Securities: May non-farm employment significantly exceeded expectations, increasing the necessity for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates
According to Jinshi reports, Huatai Securities' research report states that in May 2026, the United States added 172,000 non-farm jobs, higher than Bloomberg's consensus expectation of 85,000, with the cumulative revision for the previous two months being 93,000. The unemployment rate and labor participation rate in May remained at 4.3% and 61.8%, respectively, both in line with expectations; hourly wage growth month-on-month increased by 0.1 percentage points to 0.3%, while year-on-year decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 3.4%, also in line with expectations. The market's pricing for the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes this year has significantly intensified. Huatai Securities maintains the view that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the second half of the year, with possible rate hikes next year.
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